{"id":227811,"date":"2025-12-13T11:11:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-13T09:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/?p=227811"},"modified":"2025-12-13T09:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T07:00:00","slug":"fogadasi-botranyba-keveredett-egy-neves-elemzohaz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/?p=227811&lang=hu","title":{"rendered":"Fogad\u00e1si botr\u00e1nyba keveredett egy neves elemz\u0151h\u00e1z"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Fogad\u00e1si botr\u00e1ny keresztt\u00fcz\u00e9ben tal\u00e1lta mag\u00e1t az amerikai Institute for the Study of War (ISW) agytr\u00f6szt, ami\u00e9rt az egyik alkalmazottjuk enged\u00e9ly n\u00e9lk\u00fcl m\u00f3dos\u00edtott egy t\u00e9rk\u00e9pet, majd a Polymarket nev\u0171 online kaszin\u00f3ban hatalmas \u00f6sszeget fizettek ki a hamis jelent\u00e9s ment\u00e9n \u2013 \u00edrta meg a Responsible Statecraft.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Polymarket egy n\u00e9pszer\u0171 online fogad\u00f3iroda, ahol szinte b\u00e1rmire lehet p\u00e9nzt tenni, az amerikai v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sok vagy \u00e9ppen a magyar politikai esem\u00e9nyek kapcs\u00e1n is gyakran tal\u00e1lkozni vele.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Az oldalon lehetett egyebek mellett arra is fogadni, hogy az ukr\u00e1n fronton elfoglalja-e az orosz hadsereg Mirnohradot november 15-\u00e9ig \u2013 mivel erre ekkora nem mutatkozott kifejezetten nagy es\u00e9ly, hatalmas szorz\u00f3val nyerhettek azok, akik arra raktak p\u00e9nzt, hogy orosz k\u00e9zre ker\u00fcl a donyecki v\u00e1ros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mirnohrad m\u00e9g mindig nem esett el, a Polymarket m\u00e9gis kifizetett t\u00f6bb mint 1 milli\u00f3 doll\u00e1rt azoknak, akik arra fogadtak, hogy november 15-ig orosz k\u00e9zre ker\u00fcl Mirnohrad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mint kider\u00fclt, az \u00fcgy h\u00e1tter\u00e9ben az \u00e1llt, hogy a Polymarket az amerikai amerikai Institute for the Study of War (ISW) agytr\u00f6szt t\u00e9rk\u00e9pei alapj\u00e1n determin\u00e1lja a h\u00e1bor\u00fas esem\u00e9nyeket, az ISW egyik munkat\u00e1rsa pedig v\u00e1ratlanul berajzolta Mirnohrad nagy r\u00e9sz\u00e9t az oroszoknak a t\u00e9rk\u00e9pen, miel\u0151tt lej\u00e1rt volna a fogad\u00e1s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az ISW a t\u00e9rk\u00e9pet m\u00f3dos\u00edt\u00f3 munkat\u00e1rsat azonnal kir\u00fagta, a m\u00f3dos\u00edt\u00e1st visszavonta. A Responsible Statecraft er\u0151sen utalt r\u00e1, hogy a f\u00e9rfi maga is fogadhatott a Polymarketen \u00e9s ez\u00e9rt sz\u00fcletett meg az enged\u00e9ly n\u00e9lk\u00fcli m\u00f3dos\u00edt\u00e1s, de erre nincs bizony\u00edt\u00e9k. Azok, akik elvesztett\u00e9k a fogad\u00e1st, d\u00fch\u00f6sek \u00e9s az ISW-t hib\u00e1ztatj\u00e1k p\u00e9nz\u00fck elveszt\u00e9se miatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az ISW k\u00e9s\u0151bb azt nyilatkozta, hogy soha nem j\u00e1rultak hozz\u00e1 ahhoz, hogy a t\u00e9rk\u00e9peiket online fogad\u00e1shoz haszn\u00e1lj\u00e1k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(portfolio.hu)<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fogad\u00e1si botr\u00e1ny keresztt\u00fcz\u00e9ben tal\u00e1lta mag\u00e1t az amerikai Institute for the Study of War (ISW) agytr\u00f6szt, ami\u00e9rt az egyik alkalmazottjuk enged\u00e9ly n\u00e9lk\u00fcl m\u00f3dos\u00edtott egy t\u00e9rk\u00e9pet, majd a Polymarket nev\u0171 online kaszin\u00f3ban hatalmas \u00f6sszeget fizettek ki a hamis jelent\u00e9s ment\u00e9n \u2013 \u00edrta meg a Responsible Statecraft.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":227812,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,49,39],"tags":[18929,1728423,1728424],"class_list":["post-227811","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cikkek","category-hirek","category-vilag","tag-fogadasi-csalas","tag-institute-for-the-study-of-war-isw","tag-polymarket"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227811","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=227811"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227811\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":227813,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/227811\/revisions\/227813"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/227812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=227811"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=227811"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/podiji.karpat.in.ua\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=227811"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}